Senegal-sized Antarctic glacier melting faster than thought: Why it matters
Thwaites glacier has been losing ice for decades. Now there are concerns of rapidly accelerating loss.
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Read the original articleAl Jazeera · aljazeera.comOur verdict
Political lean
0 = center. The further from 0, the stronger the lean (max 10).
Reporting balance
How complete and even-handed the reporting is — separate from which side it leans.
This is a science news explainer with no political lean (0). It reports a new study on Thwaites Glacier accurately and with plain, attributed language, and its headline fits the body. Its main weakness is that the scientific voices come almost entirely from the study team and affiliated agencies, and several key numbers are unsourced or lack uncertainty ranges. Readers should look for independent expert reaction to the 30mm projection before treating it as settled.
- Why this lean
- The article has no left/right political angle. It covers climate science, which is not partisan in its framing here, and it presents human-caused warming as the established driver without political labels. The sources are scientists, not political actors. Score is 0.
- Framing
- The story is told from the standpoint of climate science, treating the new study's sea-level projection as the central question and the glacier's accelerating loss as established.
Key Findings
- 1Strength: the article ties its main claim to a specific publication and author ('published in the journal Nature Communications', 'lead author Mattia Poinelli'), so readers can check it directly.
- 2Strength: the BAS study is included as a second, independent scientific view, and the article notes that 'experts say more studies are needed to accurately predict the volume of Thwaites' ice loss', which signals uncertainty.
- 3Weakness: the scientific voices are almost all from the study team or from agencies tied to it. No outside glaciologist is quoted to assess the new 'grounding zone' model, so the reader cannot see how the result compares with the wider community's view.
- 4Weakness: the key percentages and tonnages are unattributed ('Studies have calculated', 'around four percent'), and the ESA line ('Rising temperatures have caused glaciers to lose about five percent of their ice since 2000') does not say which glaciers it covers.
- 5Weakness: the 30mm projection is presented as a headline figure with no stated uncertainty range or explanation of what 'double the current estimates' refers to, which makes the 'faster than thought' claim harder to weigh.
- 6Balance in language: the mechanism (warm water, tidal pumping) and the 'human-induced' cause of ocean warming are explained in plain terms without political labelling.
Who gets a voice
- Mattia PoinelliLead author of the new study, project scientist at UCLAStudy authors / glaciology research teamMain voice
- Unnamed study teamAuthors of the Nature Communications study, cited for findingsStudy authors / glaciology research teamMain voice
- NASA Jet Propulsion LaboratoryCollaborator on the new study and source of a 2019 cavity discoveryGovernment science agencyMinor voice
- European Space AgencySource of the ice-loss percentage figureGovernment science agencyMinor voice
- British Antarctic Survey scientistsAuthors of a separate simulation study in Geophysical Research LettersIndependent-institution glaciology researchMinor voice
- 'Experts'Unnamed; said more studies are needed to predict ice loss volumeUnspecified scientific cautionMinor voice
Loaded language
The informal nickname signals a catastrophe framing that the scientific projection (30mm by 2100, with a long timescale) does not itself state.
The adjective implies disaster but no figure is given for the collapse scenario, so the claim is not checkable from the text.
Dimension Breakdown
Almost all substantive claims come from the study's own team or from institutions tied to the research (UCLA, NASA JPL, ESA, BAS). The one independent-sounding voice, 'experts say more studies are needed', is unnamed.
Language is mostly plain and attributed ('lead author Mattia Poinelli... told media'). The nickname 'Doomsday Glacier' and the phrase 'catastrophic amount' add some dramatic colour without quantifying the harm.
Many figures are given with units and comparisons (30mm, 4% of sea-level rise, 1,000 billion tonnes, 60% chance). Several lack named sources or uncertainty ranges, and the 'five percent' ESA line is unclear about scope.
The study's own researchers dominate, with only a brief BAS paragraph as a second scientific view. No outside glaciologist is quoted to test the new 'grounding zone' model or the 30mm projection.
The headline 'melting faster than thought' matches the body. The lede's 'twice as much' is hedged in the body to 'could add' and 'double the current estimates', which is a fair reflection of the study.
The piece explains what Thwaites is, why its loss matters, and the mechanism (warm water and tidal pumping). It gives little on model uncertainty or how the 30mm figure compares with the wider range of sea-level projections.
Missing Perspectives
- Independent glaciologists not involved in the study, who could assess the new grounding-zone model and the 60% unpinning estimate.
- The study's stated uncertainty range or the alternative sea-level projections used by other research groups, to show how the 30mm figure fits the wider range.
- Context on the relative scale of sea-level contributors (for example, other ice sheets or thermal expansion), which would help readers judge the 'four percent' and '30mm' figures.
Highlighted Passages
“experts say more studies are needed to accurately predict the volume of Thwaites’ ice loss”
“Studies have calculated that the glacier has lost more than 1,000 billion tonnes of ice since 2000”
“Rising temperatures have caused glaciers to lose about five percent of their ice since 2000, according to the European Space Agency.”
“Nicknamed the “Doomsday Glacier””
Key Facts
- According to the new study (Nature Communications), Thwaites could add about 1.2 inches (30mm) to sea levels by 2100, even without additional global warming, double current estimates.
- According to the study's lead author Mattia Poinelli (UCLA), warm water reaches deep under the ice through 'tidal pumping' in a 'grounding zone', causing melting.
- According to the study, there is a 60 percent chance Thwaites could unpin from the Mouginot Ridge by the end of the century.
- The article states Thwaites covers about 192,000 sq km, roughly the size of Senegal and larger than Florida; the source of this figure is not named.
- The article states Thwaites contributes around four percent of global sea-level rise and has lost more than 1,000 billion tonnes of ice since 2000 (source not named).
- According to the British Antarctic Survey scientists' study in Geophysical Research Letters, Thwaites will keep losing ice for at least 150 years, even under extreme ocean cooling.
- In a 2019 study, NASA JPL found a giant underwater cavity beneath Thwaites, spanning two-thirds the size of Manhattan.